Then the probability of Mr. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Now things start getting interesting. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Step 4. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. saving. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Step 2. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. But on all probability it would. Even if they couldn't read them yet. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com Ali Binazir (Author of The Tao Of Dating) - Goodreads Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? In other words, as this infographic figures it,. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Hello there! We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? A donut with no hole, is a Danish. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Step 1. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. So what's the probability of your being born? You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Step 1. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Thats a pretty good trip. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. Dr. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Think of yourself as dead. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Now things start getting interesting. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Are they gross exaggerations? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Step 3. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Step 2. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Wowser. Probability is a pure odd. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. So what's the probability of your being born? Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. That's 150,000 generations. Its maddening to see people worry so much. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Is that an African fly or a European one? If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Just go have some fucking fun! The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. You get the volume of planet Earth. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. On one try. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you.